Only a week has passed since the long-awaited online summit of Joe Biden and Xi Jinping for Americans, and Washington has confirmed its ability to keep its word: Taiwan has been invited to the “Summit for Democracy”.
Yes, everyone understands that the upcoming event in two weeks was conceived by the Biden administration as anti-Chinese and anti-Russian, but the invitation from Taiwan looks like a clear overkill even for this (and deliberately flawed for the States themselves) undertaking. Why further annoy Beijing, why so openly demonstrate to it your duplicity? Indeed, just last week, Biden reaffirmed Xi’s American commitment to the “one China” principle, which is the foundation for US-China relations as such. This principle implies that the United States does not maintain official contacts with the Taiwan authorities, and even at the “Summit for Democracy”, in which the United Statesinvited 110 countries of the world (that is, slightly more than half of the existing ones), it was quite possible to do without an unrecognized state, a breakaway province, reunification with which China considers inevitable. But in Washington, it seems, they decided not to waste time on trifles: since everyone already understands that the summit is anti-Chinese, let’s call Taiwan, let Beijing see how tough we are.
This, of course, is worse than a mistake – this is obvious stupidity. Which confirms what was said just the other day by former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger that Biden has a serious problem with regard to Beijing:
“Everyone wants to be Chinese hawks. Everyone believes that China is determined to dominate the world and that this is its main goal.”
Everyone is a large part of the American establishment, whose attitude to China is clearly not shared by the 98-year-old patriarch of American geopolitics, who once restored (at the initiative of Nixon) relations between the two countries. In an interview on CNN on Sunday, Kissinger emphasizes that “a certain amount of resistance is necessary when fundamental American values are atta-cked (without this caveat, it is simply impossible to be heard in the United States), but this should not automatically lead to confrontation”: “Biden started moving in a slightly different direction, which boils down to not giving in to China, while trying to reach a level where we can talk. Our main goal is to avoid confrontation.”
When Kissinger praised Biden, he probably already knew about Taiwan’s invitation, but he still emphasized the constructive attitude of the current president. Because it’s important for Kissinger that his words are heard in Beijing: don’t worry, Biden didn’t choose a tough confrontation, he, like me, doesn’t want a US-China conflict:
“The difficulty of any conflict lies not in starting it, but in knowing how to end it. The danger of an exclusively military confrontation lies in the fact that it will turn into a conflict that will be difficult to end.”
It is clear that the invitation of Taiwan to the “summit of democracies” itself does not signify either Bi-den’s refusal to try to build a dialogue with Xi, much less the US course towards military confrontation with Chi-na, but it very well demonstrates the level of misunderstanding by the Americ-an elites of the rules of conduct with the Chinese.
Washington believes that it is possible to speak directly to Beijing about “one China” and immediately defiantly violate this principle, and this manner will lead to nothing but irritation of the Chinese leadership, which will still be forced to continue negotiations with the Americans. The option, in which the Chinese will simply get tired of such impudence and break off contacts as such, is not even considered by the Biden administration – and in vain. Americans should remember the history of relations between the two countries, the same Kissinger can tell a lot of interesting things about how long the Nixon administration was looking for an opportunity to establish contacts with the Chinese leadership (and this despite the fact that it was beneficial for Mao to restore ties with the United States at that time).
The same Kissinger, in another recent speech, praised the online summit of Biden and Xi: it is “a good start, which should be followed by substantive discussions that will lead to the directions indicated by the leaders during the virtual summit.” In general, we “must move towards a model in which disputes are mutually mitigated, both sides understand the impossibility of identifying a winner without the risk of destroying humanity.” This is very similar to what was said at the beginning of detente about Soviet-American relations, in our country it was also called “peaceful coexistence.” Detente, by the way, also began under Kissinger, but ended only three years after he left power. However, something else is important here. Kissinger said that US-China relations are now at a crossroads: they pass “through a mountain pass, being next to a cliff, from where you can move in different directions.”
Either everything will fall into the abyss of open confrontation, or the two powers will come to the very model of coexistence that was mentioned above. A beautiful metaphor with a pass, only Washington itself is doing everything to convince Beijing of the long-standing choice of the Americans.
On the same day, when it became known about the invitation of Taiwan, online talks were held between the Chinese and Russian defense ministers. Only a small part of them became public, but that was enough to understand Wei Fenghe’s attitude:
“The comrade minister just said about military threats, pressure and deterrence from the United States against the Russian Federation. The United States is also taking such actions against China. I completely agree with your assessments. I also support your vision of the military threat to our countries from the United States of America”.
Moscow and Beijing openly talk about a common military threat, finally turning the “Kissinger triangle” into a straight line, at one end of which is Was-hington, and at the other – the Russians and Chinese. But the PLA Colonel General did not stop there:
“We celebrate tremendous fruitful cooperation in all areas. Especially in the face of insane US containment and pressure, China a-nd Russia are pulled together like a great mountain. O-ur friendship is unbreaka-ble. Together we opposed US hegemony and oppose the fake US democratic re-gime. and false multiculturalism, as well as new manifestations of the Cold War in a new form. And in this way we showed our relationship better than allies.”
Here is an indirect answer to Kissinger: all the same mountains with which the relations of the two countries are compared. The former secretary of state sees the threat of collapse of bilateral ties, but hopes that they will not slide down the cliff, but will go out through the mountain pass onto a new road, and the Chinese minister says that the Americans, with their “insane containment”, have already done everything to strengthen the great mountain of Russian -Chinese Union.
By “insane” in this case is meant not so much power as the absence of intelligence.
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