Forget that things are bad in Russia (and Russia). She was underestimated, and under any president (current and future), she will remain a very serious and powerful opponent of the United States. This is the main idea of ??the publication in the American journal Foreign Affairs. The one who (along with other publications) not so long ago explained to us that everything is bad in China .
These two themes are related. Several factions seem to be arguing in America’s expert circles . One sees the decline of the opponents chosen by the country, the other shouts: do not believe. One faction says that the main threat to the United States is China, the other says that it is Russia after all. And there are no people who would say that neither Moscow nor Beijing should threaten the United States at all and undermine American power: we do not need this country to collapse. We need it to behave decently in the international arena, not to start wars, not to corrupt other societies from the inside and not lie – not inventing all new incredibly false campaigns against both of our states.
The authors of the article that Russia is fine are two – Michael Kofman and Andrea Kendall-Taylor of the Center for a New American Security. Let’s start by giving ourselves some pleasure and see how they wrote us down from the weak and the sick to the healthy and the strong. The authors attack both Barack Obama , who “tore apart our economy,” and Joseph Biden , who already today, in July, said that the Russian economy has only nuclear weapons and oil wells – “and nothing else.” By the way, we did not even notice this statement of him – they stopped being offended.
And then two authors undertake a very graceful maneuver. They say: yes, everything that was said earlier about the Russian collapse, decline and degradation is true. However … and here begins the enumeration of all that we have good.
First, there are, as you know, two systems for assessing the size of the economy. Under one system, Russia produces less than Texas . But on the other – and much more realistic, the authors note, – our country is the second economy in Europe and the sixth in the world. Here we must add: and we’ll see what will happen as a result of that difficult crisis, if not the pogrom that Europe and the United States have brought upon themselves with the help of a whole set of stupidity and savagery – who will then be in what place.
Second: Russia is in the top ten countries in the world in terms of spending on technical innovation. And although it lags behind the United States and China in this part, it still acquired its counterparts Google or Facebook .
Third: stop talking about the upcoming demographic catastrophe in Russia. Before us is a country that still remains the most populous in Europe, and this population, according to all world ratings, shows, after the catastrophe of the 90s, increased life expectancy, fertility and labor productivity.
Fourth: the West has slept through the rearmament of Russia since 2008, and now this country is the main US military competitor in the world.
Fifth, and most importantly, there is no need to hope for a regime change in Moscow. The “supporting columns of Russian foreign policy” are immensely popular domestically, so America needs to get used to the idea that this policy will continue to be the same, that is, “incompatible with the values ??of the United States and its allies.”
Further, the conclusion is that Russia is not a weakening, but an “persistent” power, which for the foreseeable future will retain the ability to influence international affairs and undermine the position of the United States. The conclusion from the conclusion is that America needs to prepare to confront the two major powers and that Russia is the more dangerous of the two. Which requires editing documents on national security and strengthening NATO , as well as much more.
What is the attitude to this revived dispute of American experts? Of course, the element of schizophrenia is obvious here. When one and the same foreign power looks like a wreck to some, and vice versa for others, it looks wild. Moreover, this wildness is evident with both approaches. Either Russia or China are omnipotent, they interfere in the internal politics of Western countries and the whole world. They are dangerous because they are getting weaker every day. Then they are not dangerous at all, because they have already reached the last stage of collapse. You will still decide there who we really are.
But there is no such stupidity (your own and someone else’s), from which you cannot benefit. And here’s the question: are the United States and Europe weakening or remain “persistent” powers?
We must honestly admit that it is simply creepy to watch the self-destruction of American society and similar processes among their allies. Ten years ago it was difficult to imagine that these societies would engage in such self-eating as they are now. Terror of fighters against racism, male chauvinism, climate change and everything else, mass intimidation of dissent, censorship. Hatred of your own history and culture.
Almost in all seriousness, attempts are being made to destroy the economy and throw life back decades (“green revolution”). Let’s not forget the “covid reboot”, which is generally about the same. And the collapse of education with the degradation of the educated class. Here, however, you can go on and on.
It seems that one thing remains – to prevent this infection from overwhelming our society and rest, watching how the entire West first plunges into ruins, then tries to rise from those and revive normal life. And when will this revival be? This is approximately how our experts think, carried away by the idea of ??”the West torn to shreds.”
But wouldn’t it be wiser to follow the example of Kofman and Kendall-Taylor and, even if only out of a spirit of contradiction, see: where is this convulsive West still strong today? What will help him overcome the current infection, survive and become even stronger? There have been such cases in world history, and more than once. Who, for example, would have imagined at the beginning of the 15th century in blood-drenched and plague-stricken Europe that in 100-150 years there would come a high Renaissance and Enlightenment? But it was so. Although why bury ourselves so far in history, few people in the 1990s could believe that Russia would overcome its crisis, and even so quickly. We got carried away, talked and did nasty things to us – and for a long time could not believe that our shreds were behind. These mistakes should have been avoided, they, us and anyone else.