Another war is out there

Another war is out there

Victoria Nikiforova

The American media is still full of Ukraine. They tried to bring this topic even to the talks between Russia and the United States in Geneva. Ninety thousa-nd… no, one hundred thousand Russian troops on the border with Ukr-aine… no, already one hundred twenty-five tho-usand, then eighteen scenarios of rebuffing Rus-sia, thirty thousand couriers alone… In general, the hubbub is deafening.
Residents of the United States are diligently told that if a military conflict with Russia happens, it will happen somewhere in an unprecedented distance. Somewhere out there, thousands of kilometers away, across the seas and oceans, lies the country of Ukraine, which no one can even find on a map. She valiantly fights the Moscow tyrant, and the Americans send her beams of goodness and javelins mixed.
By the way, the possible confrontation with China is presented in exactly the same way. It will allegedly take place in a distant and exotic region, and will not even come close to US cities. Another war is out there.
In fact, the war may well come to the territory of the United States. There are a large number of vulnerabilities in the defense of the country. In a normal democratic state, this matter would be worth discussing widely – and now is the right time for this. But no, there is no such dish in the news menu. These vulnerabilities are discussed exclusively by the US military in their specialized publications. The general public continues to swallow Hollywood tales about how the valiant American Marines throw panama hats… who is supposed to be thrown there? Russians, Chinese, Iranians? And, of course, aliens.
The US military, meanwhile, is expressing serious concern about the latest Russian inventions. For our bright-faced public, this hypersonic weapon is simply “Putin’s cartoons.” But the US Department of Defense is seriously afraid of them, recognizing that there is no reception against scrap. Or as the US Department of Defense’s 2019 Missile Defense Review puts it: “Active missile defense <…> by itself will not help the United States <…> win the conflict. Given the advantage of a potential adversary with its huge range of missiles compared to our limited defense toolkit, the US must…” improve, invest, develop, and so on.
About the same six months ago, the commander of the US Northern Command Glen Vanherk reported, calling our country the main threat to the White House. “They (I mean, Russia. – Author’s note) have created capabilities that simply did not exist twenty years ago… These are cruise missiles that radar does not see, and quiet submarines that are no worse than our submarines.”
Or let’s take the same Venezuela. American journalists had a lot of fun when they heard from our diplomat Sergei Ryabkov that the use of the territories of Latin American countries for military pressure on the United States is not ruled out. However, in December 2018, the appearance of our Tu-160 bombers in Venezuela caused no amusement among the US military. Moreover, the planes arrived exactly after the failure of another attempt by the White House to topple the country’s leader, Nicolas Maduro.
Employees of the main analytical department of the US Department of Defense – Rand Corporation – then came to the sad conclusion that the United States had nothing special to influence Venezuela if it continued its military-technical cooperation with Russia. The deployment of conventional weapons in the Bolivarian Republic could be met with sanctions. However, this poor but proud country is already heavily sanctioned. And how to respond to the deployment of nuclear weapons there? If parked, say, a Russian submarine with full ammunition? You will not believe, but here the American authorities were asked to portray deep concern. And this, in fact, is all.
The resumption of our military-technical cooperation with Cuba may also become very painful for our American partners. Again, Americans don’t like to talk about it: the memory of the Cuban Missile Crisis seems to have traumatized them for decades. However, two years ago, the influential British publication The Spectator warned the United States about the danger of a military alliance between Russia, Cuba and Venezuela – they say that these countries in partnership “always manage to beat the United States in their backyard.”
In the list of concerns of the US military, we will not find “interference in elections”, jokes about Petrov and Boshirov and other Russophobic trash. The US defense departments have much more serious reasons for concern. Literally, the Rand Corporation just pleased us with a report on the state of affairs in the American nuclear “triad”. In short, everything is very running there.
For the past twenty years, as Russia hastily rearmed and modernized its military, the United States has slumbered peacefully on the laurels of “victory” in the Cold War. As a result, their “minutemen”, produced more than half a century ago, are literally breathing their last. Their term of service has long expired and has been repeatedly extended. Both missiles and their entire infrastructure are extremely, hopelessly worn out. Today, repairmen bring two or three sets of equipment with them in the hope that at least something will work.
These revelations, by the way, shed light on why the Biden administration so swiftly and meekly, without any additional conditions, extended the strategic offensive arms treaty with Russia.
More than once, ideas arose to create new missiles to replace the long-ended Minutemen. Now such a program has really appeared: new ICBMs are planned to be put into series in 2030-2036.
However, the modernization of the American defense industry is greatly hindered by a split at the top. Even about the new ICBMs there were big disputes. There is an influential point of view, according to which ground-based missile launch systems are not needed at all, and the United States may well limit itself to bombers and submarines.
But after all, there is also solid vintage. The Ohio-class submarines are planned to be scrapped and replaced with new Columbia-class submarines, but this project will not become a reality until 2031. The B-52H bomber first rolled off the production line in 1962 and today, as analysts put it mildly, “is showing the effect of age.” His little brother B-2 is also planning to change.
No, we will not imitate our American partners and call their country “Upper Volta with rusty rockets.” It is stupid and vulgar to shower insults on a strong opponent. However, one cannot help but wonder: how, in fact, with such baggage, the US army is going to resist Russia and China with their modern armies and ultra-modern weapons?
It seems that some understanding of these realities in the West is slowly coming. Journalists and experts are already offering Washington their own versions of how to elegantly surrender positions without losing face. It suddenly turns out that no one ever intended to accept Ukraine and Georgia into NATO. What are you? Do we need it? American foreign policy today is an Odessa import in all its glory.
In the five stages of acceptance, the States quickly jumped from denial to bargaining. We will tell you the absence of missiles in Europe, as well as Ukraine and Georgia, but at the same time we will tell them that this is not serious, but make-believe, and we will explain to the vassals that this is also make-believe, but in general we do not need either Ukraine or Georgia for nothing, take-take.
Well, there are two stages left. First depression – reading the reports of the US defense departments is quite capable of providing it to the Americans. And then – inevitably – the acceptance of all the conditions of Russia.

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